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JIT vs Safety Stock: How Much Packaging Inventory Should Your Singapore Business Actually Hold?

  • Nov 26
  • 4 min read

Your guide to packaging inventory management

For many Singapore businesses, packaging inventory is an afterthought — until it isn’t. A sudden stockout stops operations instantly. Overstocking, on the other hand, quietly drains cash flow and eats into already expensive warehouse space.

With carton boxes forming a core part of fulfilment, your packaging strategy directly impacts operational efficiency, margins, and customer experience.

The key question: Should you run on Just-in-Time (JIT) inventory or maintain Safety Stock? This guide breaks down the differences and helps Singapore businesses determine exactly how much packaging to keep on hand.


Why Packaging Inventory Matters More Than Most Businesses Realise

Even high-performing businesses often overlook the hidden cost drivers behind packaging:

Carrying Costs

Singapore warehouse space is among the most expensive globally. Every additional pallet of boxes increases:

  • Rental cost

  • Utilities

  • Labour handling

  • Insurance

Capital Costs

Cash tied up in boxes can’t be used for marketing, production, or operations.

Risk Costs

Boxes stored too long risk:

  • Warp from humidity

  • Surface damage

  • Obsolescence (when SKUs or sizing changes)

Operational Costs

Reordering last-minute leads to:

  • Emergency deliveries

  • Price fluctuations

  • Operational stress

Packaging isn’t just a supply item — it's a cost centre and operational lever.


Understanding JIT (Just-in-Time) for Packaging

JIT means ordering packaging as close to actual demand as possible.

Benefits of JIT

  • Lower storage cost — ideal for businesses with limited space

  • Better cash flow — you buy only what you need

  • Less waste — no obsolete boxes sitting in the warehouse

  • Higher agility — great for brands with many SKUs or size changes

Risks of JIT

  • Vulnerable to supplier lead times

  • Sudden demand spikes become stressful

  • More frequent ordering requires discipline

Best for:

  • SMEs and startups

  • Businesses with unpredictable demand

  • Brands carrying multiple box sizes

  • Operations without large warehouse space

For JIT to work, reliable suppliers are essential. Delays break the system.


Understanding Safety Stock for Packaging

Safety Stock refers to maintaining a buffer above expected demand.

Benefits of Safety Stock

  • Prevents stockouts during peak periods

  • Supports predictable, high-volume fulfilment

  • Protects against supplier delays

Risks of Safety Stock

  • Higher carrying costs

  • Increased risk of damage due to longer storage

  • Obsolescence if SKUs change

Best for:

  • E-commerce fulfilment centres

  • High-volume operations

  • Businesses with stable, predictable demand

  • Brands fulfilling 5000+ orders per month


So… How Much Packaging Inventory Should a Business Hold?

Below are practical, non-technical frameworks tailored for Singapore businesses.

1. Simple Rule of Thumb (for Most SMEs)

  • If using Safety Stock → hold 2–4 weeks of average usage

  • If running JIT → hold 3–7 days of supply

Adjust based on supplier lead time, seasonality, and risk tolerance.

2. The Simplified EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) Logic

Skip the formulas. The principle is:

You minimise total cost by finding the point where ordering cost + storage cost is lowest.

If storage is expensive (as it is in SG), your EOQ tends to be lower → favouring JIT.

3. Practical Safety Stock Formula (Simplified)

Safety Stock = (Peak demand – Average demand) × Lead time buffer

Example:

If your average weekly usage is 500 boxes, but peak weeks hit 800, and you want 1 week buffer:

Safety Stock = (800 – 500) × 1 = 300 extra boxes

4. Risk-Based Decision Framework

Choose Safety Stock if:

  • Demand is stable

  • You run high volumes

  • Stockouts would severely impact fulfilment

  • You prepare for festive peaks (11.11, 12.12, Christmas, CNY)

Choose JIT if:

  • Space is tight

  • Cash flow is important

  • You have many SKUs (boxes, mailers, pouches)

  • Your product line changes frequently


Singapore-Specific Considerations That Change the Equation

Local insights make this guide particularly useful:

1. Warehouse space is expensive ($3–$6 psf).

Small overstock has big financial impact.

2. Humidity affects stored boxes.

Long-term storage risks warping and structural weakness.

3. Peak seasons create supplier bottlenecks.

Many businesses bulk up in Q4 → forecasting is critical.

4. Multi-SKU brands need agility.

Most Singapore SMEs sell diverse product assortments and require flexible packaging strategies.


The Hybrid Model: Best of Both Worlds

In practice, the most efficient approach for Singapore businesses is a hybrid strategy:

✔ Maintain Safety Stock for:

  • Fast-moving SKUs

  • Standard everyday shipper sizes

  • Core product lines

✔ Use JIT for:

  • Slow-moving SKU sizes

  • Seasonal packaging

  • Newly launched product lines

  • Oversized or less frequently used boxes

This reduces COGS while protecting operational reliability.


When to Increase Safety Stock

  • Before 11.11, Black Friday, Christmas, CNY

  • During supplier maintenance shutdown periods

  • Before large campaigns or influencer pushes

  • When expanding into a new sales channel (e.g., TikTok Shop)


When to Shift Towards JIT

  • When warehouse space is tightening

  • When SKU count increases

  • When shipping rates go up (right-sizing becomes crucial)

  • During product transitions

  • When running lean operations to preserve cash flow


How CL Packaging Helps Businesses Optimise Packaging Inventory

CL Packaging supports both JIT and Safety Stock workflows through:

✔ Bulk purchase savings for high-volume SKUs

Maximise margin on your most frequently used sizes.

✔ Reliable quick replenishment

Enabling JIT for agile brands.

✔ Hybrid Blanket Order Solution

Lock in Bulk Prices (e.g. 10,000 boxes) over a year with delivery in small batches (e.g. 1,000/month)

✔ Advisory on box sizes & SKU optimisation

Right-sizing reduces DIM weight and unnecessary fillers.

✔ Support for SMEs & growing brands

Small-batch ordering options for controlled growth.

✔ Islandwide delivery across Singapore

Stable, predictable supply keeps operations running smoothly.

CL Packaging isn’t just a packaging supplier. We’re an operational partner helping businesses optimise cost, storage, and fulfilment efficiency.


Final Thoughts: Making the right decision

Choosing between JIT and Safety Stock isn’t just about packaging — it’s about cost control, risk management, and operational stability. By understanding your demand patterns, storage constraints, and fulfilment workflows, you can determine the strategy that best strengthens your bottom line.

For most businesses in Singapore, a hybrid approach delivers the ideal balance of flexibility, savings, and reliability. If you’d like a tailored assessment of your packaging usage or recommendations on ideal quantities, CL Packaging can help.

Explore our range of carton boxes in Singapore today and streamline your operations with confidence.

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